$RIVER What is overfitting? What you’re seeing now as a “shitcoin radar detector” is essentially developed by people who noticed that, for example, $river $rave or the previous $trb kind of shitcoin—when it starts to surge—often shows negative funding values. So they began looking for a pattern: just how negative does funding need to get before the token starts to rise?

Then they’ll take the funding indicator from -0.1 down to -2, checking each value one by one. When they find that a certain value performs well—able to catch most of the past explosive shitcoins—then this becomes one of the metrics for their shitcoin radar detector. This is called overfitting, and it’s also the trap that beginners are most likely to fall into.

In reality, when you use it, you’ll find it’s basically useless. Explosive coins are being pumped too, but so are sideways-trading oscillations—and even declining ones—because of one fundamental reason: the market noise is huge. If they can’t effectively filter out the noise, then in essence, these radar detectors are just castles in the air.