$BTC Signal】Short position, 1H rebound failure, 4H bearish dominance


Sell orders pile above 77,000, 1H rebound to near EMA20 with declining volume. RSI 41 failed to return above 50, 4H MACD histogram continues to expand downward. The middle band of Bollinger Bands at 77,564 forms effective resistance, bulls are unable to mount a strong counterattack.
🎯Direction: Short
⚡Entry/Order: 77,429.23
🛑Stop loss: 78,058.84
🚀Target 1: 76,169.99
🚀Target 2: 75,540.37
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: Reduce 50% of the position after reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss to the entry price. If the price rebounds to the stop loss level, exit to protect capital.
4H bearish momentum shows no signs of weakening; the 1H rebound is merely technical correction after oversold conditions. Although buy-side depth reaches 2.0, actual sell volume continues to suppress. Negative funding rates are very low, not supporting a short squeeze. After rebounding to resistance zones, the probability of bears regaining control is higher, with a reasonable risk-reward ratio.
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