Recently, I keep seeing a bunch of people watching “whale addresses moving” and rushing in to copy the trades. To be blunt, first find out whether they’re building a position or hedging. Big transfers in don’t necessarily mean they’re trying to pump the market; they might just be moving spot into place, then opening a hedge/counter-hedge position to lock down volatility. If you buy along with them, you’re basically just providing emotional liquidity for them… These days, I pay more attention to the trade structure and whether there are little follow-up moves like topping up margin afterward. If there aren’t, I just treat it as me passing by. The collapse logic in on-chain games—inflation + studios + a spiral in the coin price—is pretty similar: you think it’s an “entry signal,” but they may just be looking for an exit. Anyway, I’ll take a slower step first; it saves me half the gas on the mindset.

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