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Tuesday, everyone stand up! The big rally on the right side is coming!!
To keep it brief, focus on the key points, four major bearish signals.
1. The Federal Reserve decision is approaching; the market rose before the decision and fell after. This is a historical pattern. The current rally has already rebounded from 60k to 79,600 before the decision. If this is judged as a top, then after the decision it will be a big downtrend.
2. The Federal Reserve is changing its leadership. Historically, since Yellen and Powell, the market has experienced significant declines. This time, as the leadership change window approaches again, it will likely trigger another round of sharp decline.
3. The US stock market bubble is relatively large this round, and the key ceasefire positive news between the US and Iran has been mostly priced in. Once a definitive decision is made, another big downtrend will follow.
4. Recently, the Middle East crude oil sector has intensified, and the aftermath of war has increased the probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates but instead tighten again.
5. The second attempt to reach 79,600 did not break through; a quick pullback of 3,000 points is the largest single-day decline recently, breaking the short-term upward trend.