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Three stages + key strait, Iran's set of combination punches, makes the U.S. start 'accounting mode'
Faced with Iran's new proposal, Trump's team's first reaction is not to make a statement, but to—calculate.
Why? Because this three-stage plan looks like cooperation, but in fact each step has a cost.
Stage one, easing the situation, seems easy but requires signaling;
Stage two, negotiating conditions, involves benefit exchanges;
Stage three, long-term mechanisms, are even more about strategic layout.
Plus, with the Hormuz Strait as a "high-value variable," the entire plan's weight is directly maximized.
Iran's strategy is very clear:
Use structure to reduce resistance, use issues to increase value.
It's like negotiating business, first giving you a "seemingly reasonable" quote, then gradually adding conditions.
The U.S. side then enters a typical "risk assessment mode":
Accept, but will they be led by the rhythm?
Reject, but will they lose the initiative?
More importantly, this three-stage design makes negotiations "difficult to interrupt," because once started, each step is connected like chains.
That's also why Trump convened the national security team instead of simply responding.
Because this isn't a problem that can be solved with a simple "agree or reject."
To sum up:
This negotiation is essentially a precise calculation. #加密市场小幅下跌