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Recently monitoring on-chain transactions, the more I look, the more I feel that "sandwich/arbitrage" is basically about seeing opportunities while others see your transaction fees... I used to calculate expected slippage, success rate, Gas in spreadsheets, scoring each one, and in the end, I found that the most stable option was always "I lose time + fees." Occasionally I want to go for it, but as soon as I enter, I get squeezed clearly, like giving others a performance boost.
These days, I see everyone using ETF capital flows and US stock market risk appetite to explain crypto price movements, and I suddenly feel a bit exhausted: the more explanations, the more it seems like making excuses for random fluctuations. I no longer chase explanations; I accept randomness. The only things I can do are split orders into smaller parts, avoid chasing hype, and walk away if I can.