These days, liquidity has dried up, and the market depth is as thin as paper. I actually don’t dare to “bottom fish” anymore. To be honest, survive first, then talk about opportunities: if your reasons for entering aren’t solid enough, don’t enter; if you can’t define your exit conditions, just pretend you didn’t see it. Last time, I didn’t understand and forced myself to join the fun, but one spike wiped out my stop-loss, and my emotional score shot straight to 9/10, so angry I disconnected for ten minutes... Only after calming down did I realize it’s not the market targeting me, it’s that I didn’t understand what I was betting on.



Now, macro is talking about rate cut expectations again, and the US dollar index moves up and down with risk assets, which sounds more like “emotion leading the way.” So I added a rule for myself: if I don’t understand, don’t move first; keep my position small enough not to affect my sleep; don’t rush to prove I can catch the bottom. Anyway, the market isn’t short of the next opportunity.
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