$ETH 1. Core idea: primarily follow the trend to short, with buying on dips as a supplement, strictly control position size

◦ Prioritize short positions on rebounds that encounter resistance, because the overall trend is bearish, and trend-following increases win rate.

◦ Only take short-term long positions on support stabilizations, and must be light on size with stop-loss, avoid bottom-fishing and holding large positions.

◦ The middle range (2280–2300) is unclear in direction, not recommended for frequent trading to avoid being swept back and forth.

2. Specific execution logic

◦ Short positions: wait for the price to rebound to the resistance zone of 2310–2330, show signs of stagnation (long upper shadow, decreasing volume) before entering, stop-loss at 2345, first target 2270, then 2263.

◦ Long positions: wait for the price to retrace to the support zone of 2265–2270, show signs of stabilization (long lower shadow, decreasing volume) before lightly trying long, stop-loss at 2250, target 2300–2310, take profit and exit if encountering resistance.

◦ Watching: if the price keeps oscillating in the 2280–2300 range, patiently wait for a breakout or breakdown, do not trade within the ambiguous zone. $ETH