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This week's market will see several major events that directly impact the direction of risk assets:
① US-Iran negotiations: Iran proposes to open the Strait of Hormuz and end conflicts; if negotiations resume, it will be positive for the market.
② Bank of Japan decision: Expected to hold steady, with a focus on forward guidance. If hawkish, it will be negative; if inflation is viewed as short-term, it will be positive.
③ Federal Reserve decision: Expected to pause interest rate hikes, with attention on Powell's remarks.
④ Tech giants' earnings reports: Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Google, Apple, and others will release earnings, collectively accounting for over 25% of the S&P 500 weight.
⑤ US ISM PMI: April data to be released on Friday, with sustained readings above 52 indicating economic expansion.
A busy week ahead, volatility may intensify.