I re-read the Bitcoin predictions for the end of 2024, and it’s wild to see how things turned out. Back then, everyone was talking about 150k, 200k, or even 1M for Bitcoin. ARK Invest targeted at least 124k, PlanB predicted 500k-1M by 2025, and analysts like Tom Lee were calling for 250k in 2025.

Now in 2026, it’s clear that the Bitcoin trend didn’t follow this bullish scenario quite as predicted. The current price is hovering around 77k, far from those optimistic projections. But it’s interesting to revisit what fueled this momentum: institutional adoption via Bitcoin ETFs (30+ billion in inflows), the halving in avril 2024 that tightened supply, and the pro-crypto sentiment from the U.S. government with plans for a national Bitcoin reserve.

What stands out is the volatility. We saw Bitcoin surge above 100k in décembre 2024, followed by the corrections that came after. Macroeconomic factors, regulatory risks, black swan–type events—everything played a part. The takeaway? Bitcoin predictions are always exciting to follow, but the real trend depends on much more than analysts’ optimism. It’s interesting to see how it keeps evolving.