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I’m increasingly feeling that things like grid trading/DCA are essentially a “buying yourself sleep.” Of course, a one-shot all-in can also feel great—the few minutes where your emotions are maxed out feel like opening a blind box—but the truth is, if you can’t stomach the drawdown and still stop-loss properly according to discipline, then you’ll be tossing and turning at night thinking, “Should I add more? Should I cut?” I personally keep an eye on the funding rate and the spot–futures basis: if it’s too hot, I do less; if it’s too cold, I slowly pick things back up. The simpler the rules, the less likely you are to get swept up.
Recently, the whole storyline of that on-chain gaming economy collapse has been replayed again: inflation is running wild, studios are moving desks and bricks, and as the coin price spirals, nobody gets to sleep. If you choose a one-shot all-in, you’d better ask yourself first: can you treat this volatility as if it didn’t happen? If you can’t, then at least with grid trading/DCA, you’ll still be able to want to eat breakfast the next day. Anyway, I’m choosing something that lets me sleep.