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Right now, as we are in April, Nvidia's recent results still serve as the benchmark for understanding the momentum of AI commerce. And it is that this company has become more than just a chip manufacturer: it is practically the thermometer of the global artificial intelligence market.
What’s interesting is that Wall Street projected quarterly revenues around $65 to $66 billion, representing nearly 68% year-over-year growth. Earnings per share were estimated between $1.52 and $1.53. But what really draws attention is that data center revenues approached $60 billion, reflecting sustained demand from giants like Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta.
Those four companies collectively planned to spend between $650 and $660 billion on capex during 2026, much of which is directly tied to AI infrastructure. But here’s what many underestimate: sovereign investment is emerging as an important factor. Countries like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are accelerating their own AI clouds, which could add more than $20 billion to Nvidia’s revenue just in 2026.
Now, the Blackwell architecture was almost exhausted until mid-year, so all attention was directed toward Rubin, the next platform announced at CES. Gross margins were expected to recover toward the 70% range, a key signal about long-term profitability.
The risk still lingering in the environment is China. Current export controls meant that H20 chips were not sold in the region, so any easing would represent a significant upside potential. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s stock traded with no significant changes over the past six months.
What investors were really looking to confirm was whether AI infrastructure spending was truly in its early stages. Revenue projections close to $75 billion for Q1 FY2027, gross margins in the 75% range, and clear visibility on Rubin’s rollout could rekindle the momentum in AI trading.
By the way, if you want to better understand how traders and investors are positioning themselves in response to these movements, eToro, a collaborative investment platform, allows access to real-time market analysis and to follow how other investors are interpreting these data. Many traders use these tools to monitor not only Nvidia but the entire tech sector dynamics.
The reality is that any failure to meet those expectations could trigger volatility that would extend far beyond Nvidia itself. The market is waiting for confirmation, not just numbers.