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Recently, someone again used "tags/clustering" to discuss capital flow, casually warning you that "smart money is fleeing," and honestly: it's worth referencing but don't treat it as gospel.
Many address profiles are actually just grouping the same routing habits, commonly used DEXs, gas patterns together; when encountering batch transfers, relay contracts, multi-signatures, they can quickly cluster you and lead you astray, not to mention some people deliberately split addresses to avoid tracking.
The staking unlocks and token unlock calendar have been repeatedly mentioned these days; I was a bit slow to react, only remembered to check after the third mention...
After reading, it was just "oh," anxiety is contagious, but whether there's selling pressure or not, on-chain transfers still need to be considered with the actual flow paths: whether they go into exchanges, whether they use aggregators, whether slippage and routing are noticeably dirtier.
Anyway, I only trust half of the address profiles I see now, the other half I look at transaction details and routing specifics, and for those with a heavy MEV flavor, I just start cursing.