Polymarket Market Report: Among over 20k markets, the top 10 most volatile markets, with cryptocurrency events accounting for 40%

On April 2nd, news reports that the prediction market data platform Polysights posted on X stated that they analyzed over 20k Polymarket markets from the past 6 months and provided volatility rankings. The main findings are as follows:
Cryptocurrency-related markets account for four of the top ten, characterized by highly asymmetric information, with few able to predict accurately.
There is a deadline anxiety, where questions involving “Will X happen before [date]” are more likely to cause volatility than “Who will win.”
Market outcomes tend to favor “Yes” — in markets over $1 million, the probability of a “Yes” result is 50%, while overall it is only 27%; when markets experience sharp fluctuations, the final outcome is often “Yes.”
Medium-sized markets (between $1 million and $7 million) are in a chaotic zone; markets over $10 million tend to have more stable price movements due to large capital inflows.