These days, I’m more focused on the direction of interest rates when analyzing the market. It feels like a faucet; tightening it immediately cools everyone’s risk appetite. No matter how lively the on-chain activity is, it will first turn into a matter of “can we survive first” in terms of position management. To put it simply, I’d rather have smaller positions now but execute the rules perfectly: reduce when needed, go short when appropriate, and don’t fight the market sentiment.

𝑩𝑰𝑻𝑪𝑶𝑰𝑵 𝑩𝑬𝑨𝑹 𝑴𝑨𝑹𝑲𝑬𝑻 𝑪𝑶𝑵𝑭𝑰𝑹𝑴𝑬𝑫 — 𝑻𝑯𝑬 𝑾𝑨𝑽𝑬 𝑷𝑶𝑰𝑵𝑻𝑺 𝑻𝑶 𝑭𝑼𝑹𝑻𝑯𝑬𝑹 𝑫𝑶𝑾𝑵𝑺𝑰𝑫𝑬 📉⚠️
Bitcoin’s weekly structure now clearly signals a bear market phase under The Wave methodology.
The previous rally has completed a FLAT correction ending in a Terminal structure, and the breakdown that followed confirms the trend has shifted.
🔶 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝
◆ 🔸 The move from the 2024 low formed a corrective a:3 → b:3 → c:5 (Terminal) structure.
◆ 🔸 The rally showed overlap, weakness, and slow momentum — classic signs of a co