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Recently, I've seen people focusing on large on-chain transfers and unusual activity in exchange hot and cold wallets, then start speculating that "smart money is about to enter the market"... Honestly, I'm a bit numb to it. Chasing that one moment in the pool might really be an opportunity, but more often it's just paying someone else's transaction fee. Sandwich attacks, to put it plainly, are when you click confirm, and others are already queued up before and after; the "slippage" you see is dinner money for the other side.
Now I only look at the daily chart. If I really want to participate, I would keep my position very small, preferring to miss out rather than be dragged along by a few minutes of emotional swings. Occasionally, I use the term MEV (miner/validator front-running for profit), and it sounds harsh, but it's always there. Anyway, I first ask myself: am I arbitraging this trade, or am I giving someone else an arbitrage opportunity? If I can't figure it out, I don't act.