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BTC 15-minute short-term rally of 0.58%: institutional buying pressure combined with short covering drives a short-term rebound
Between 23:30 and 23:45 (UTC) on April 26, 2026, the BTC price experienced a short-term fluctuation, with a return of +0.58%, a price range of 78,041.7 to 78,607.3 USDT, and an amplitude of 0.72%. Market activity slightly increased, but overall sentiment remained cautious.
The main driver of this fluctuation was short-term active buying in the spot market. ETF capital inflows showed a warming trend overall on April 26, with some institutional funds concentrated during this time window, pushing BTC prices higher in the short term. Glassnode on-chain monitoring indicated a slight positive net inflow to exchanges during this period, suggesting some BTC inflow while buy-side support was also present.
Secondly, short covering in the futures market provided a secondary push. During the same period, open interest (OI) in futures slightly increased, but funding rates turned negative, indicating increased short-selling pressure without a corresponding price decline. This suggests some short positions were passively closed, contributing to the upward movement. Additionally, some short-term holders (STH) took profits, with part of the BTC flowing into exchange sell orders, limiting further price gains. Although ETF capital inflows showed signs of recovery, their scale was limited and did not form a dominant trend, leaving the overall market structure fragile.
Regarding risk warnings, current spot trading volume and market depth are limited. Large sell-offs could easily impact prices. Futures short positions increased, and if market sentiment weakens, downward pressure could intensify. ETF inflows, while recovering, remain unstable; reduced subscription activity could suppress prices. In the short term, focus should be on the key resistance level of $78,000, changes in spot trading volume, and ETF capital flows. It is recommended to strictly control positions and guard against liquidity and leverage risks.