Today I saw that kind of "coincidental transfer": several new wallets sending small amounts back and forth at the same time, and the comment section immediately started conspiracy theories. I now prefer to analyze the paths... First, see where the funds originally came from on the main chain, whether they were withdrawn from an exchange or split from the same batch of old addresses; then check if there are "watering hole" style aggregation addresses in the middle; finally, see if the final destination is the same task platform/contract. Many so-called coincidences, to put it plainly, are just the same script running.

During airdrop season, it becomes even more obvious. The stricter the anti-witch hunt, the more points-based systems resemble clocking in at work, and people prefer to make their actions look "human," but this actually leaves more uniform traces: time windows, amount anchors, gas usage habits are all similar. Next time, I plan to plot these addresses along a timeline first and see how the narrative develops. What clues do you usually use to determine whether it's a "real retail investor" or "the same group"?