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Today I was taught a lesson by the mempool again... The chain got congested, and your transaction is like waiting in line at a highway toll booth. You broadcast it first, miners/validators pick and include blocks, and if you pay a low fee, you can only wait. During the price swings, you might think you clicked the wrong button, but you're actually just stuck in the queue. The most frustrating part is waiting half a day for failure, with a small gas fee burned, and your mindset just cracks.
Recently, everyone has been talking about staking unlocks and token unlock calendars. Basically, they're worried about selling pressure, but during congestion, it’s more like “who runs first, who survives.” The more anxious you are, the more likely you are to raise prices hastily to get a spot.
I talk about structure and net inflow, but when it comes down to confirming a transaction, I still trust the data more: intuition urges me to chase, but data at least tells me whether I’m queuing or fighting myself. Anyway, I’ll keep holding an empty position and observe...