Starting at 09:49, Israeli attacks in Lebanon killed 2,490 amid a fragile ceasefire, highlighting market certainty despite geopolitical realities. At 09:50, Netanyahu ordered strikes on Hezbollah after ceasefire violations, risking undermining diplomatic efforts. Then, at 09:52, Lebanon freed the last Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail, potentially emboldening the group and threatening ceasefire stability.

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