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These days, I've been back to analyzing address profiles—tags, clustering, fund flows—looking pretty convincing, but honestly, it's mostly just "for reference." The same person using over ten addresses, different people sharing a multi-signature or custody, or even transferring within a scam group, and suddenly the profile starts to self-hypnotize... I now trust more in "behavioral chains": interaction order, time intervals, gas spending patterns, whether they prefer the same set of routers/bridges, at least it’s less likely to be manipulated by a single large transfer to set the rhythm.
Recently, that mainstream public chain is about to upgrade/maintain, and everyone in the group is guessing whether the ecosystem will migrate away. I prefer to watch whether funds are diverted to other chains or bridges before and after the maintenance, whether the entry points become crowded, and I see "smart money" tags as just jokes. In the end, when the witch hunt happens, the system doesn’t care who you are. As for how much you can trust these profiles... what’s your personal feeling?