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The recent market situation, to put it simply, is one word: grinding.
Prices are moving sideways, seemingly unchanged,
but small funds have already been "washed" back and forth into chaos;
in contrast, large funds have hardly withdrawn, showing a very steady attitude.
On the surface, there's a balance between bulls and bears,
but a closer look reveals—bears seem to be defending rather than actively attacking.
There's also a key detail:
The 3-day average cost is slowly rising, indicating the bottom is gradually moving up, and the chip structure is tightening.
This kind of market won't stay sideways forever; once a direction is chosen, volatility will be significant.
My judgment:
Currently, it leans more towards accumulating strength within a consolidation, not like distribution, but more like waiting for a trigger point.
But one thing to note—
Before a volume breakout, all "bullish" signals are just expectations, not results.
In terms of rhythm:
* Once the upper side effectively stabilizes around a key resistance (near 80,000), the market could accelerate
* If it falls below 75,000, the consolidation structure will be broken, and a rebound might deepen
Looking at ETH:
The BTC exchange rate has been suppressed for so long; as long as BTC stays steady, a rebound is highly probable, and the pace could become even more aggressive.
Finally, to be honest:
The most frustrating times in the market are often the closest to a launch.
But most people don't lose on the direction—they get left behind just before takeoff.
Remember:
Patience is not waiting for the market, but waiting for certainty. Opportunities are never lacking; what’s lacking is the ability to wait.