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Recently, I've been messing around with address profiling again—tags, clustering, one after another.
It feels like I'm "seeing through the funds," but honestly, it's just increasing the probability a bit.
When an address is labeled as a whale/organization/shark, many times it's just behavior that looks similar, not necessarily the same group of people;
not to mention cross-chain, wallet swapping, or using aggregators, the lines on the chart look smooth, but that's just my imagination filling in the gaps.
Now, Layer 2 is arguing over TPS, fees, and which subsidies are more attractive.
I'm actually more concerned about where the subsidy money ultimately flows:
is it genuine users, or just hundreds of addresses bouncing back and forth to inflate TVL?
When TVL drops, I get nervous, but I can only keep watching the data…
Anyway, I now add a caveat to all "tag conclusions":
It's usable, but don't treat it as destiny.