The Strait of Hormuz doesn’t recover overnight — even after reopening.


Here’s why:
• Sunken vessels: Wrecks must be located and cleared. Mapping alone takes weeks.
• Unexploded ordnance: Mines and missiles still pose risks. Safe shipping lanes take time to secure.
• Insurance costs: War-risk premiums stay elevated, keeping many tankers sidelined.
• Damaged ports: Export infrastructure isn’t fixed quickly. Repairs take months.
• Crew shortages: Thousands of sailors left during the conflict — rebuilding crews takes time.
• Shifted supply chains: Buyers found alternatives. Restoring trust and contracts is slow.
Bottom line: Open doesn’t mean fully operational.
A full recovery can take up to 2 years.
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