BTC is currently oscillating at high levels, with a bullish bias but weakening momentum; short-term sees a correction, medium-term still has potential to reach $80K, and long-term outlook remains a slow bull continuation (data as of 4/26 12:10, around $77,500).

1. Current price and core data

• Current price: $77,474 (≈¥530k)

• 24h: -0.12%, trading volume $16.95B

• 7d: +2.3%, April ETF net inflow $2.4 billion, 8 consecutive days of inflow

• Core features: high-level consolidation with reduced volume, steady institutional capital inflow, retail investor sentiment cautious

2. Short-term trend (1–7 days): oscillation correction, buying on dips opportunity

Key levels

• Resistance: $78,500–79,000 (heavy trapped positions, hard to break through)

• Strong resistance: $80k (psychological level, concentrated options resistance)

• Support: $76,000–76,500 (short-term strong support)

• Strong support: $75,000 (100-day moving average + Fibonacci support)

Trend judgment

• Most likely: correction to around $76,000 to stabilize, then oscillate upward

• Less likely: volume-driven drop below $75,000, probing $72,000–74,000

• Indicator signals: MACD weakening at high levels, RSI approaching overbought, short-term adjustment needed

3. Medium-term trend (1–3 months): bullish pattern, target $85K+

Core positive factors

• Spot ETF continues net inflow, driven by institutional funds

• Post-halving scarcity premium gradually materializing

• Macro: Fed rate cut expectations remain, liquidity easing benefits BTC

Key targets

• First target: $80,000 (breakthrough opens upward space)

• Second target: $85k–90,000 (oscillation near new all-time highs)

• Support zone: $70,000–72,000 (medium-term strong support, difficult to effectively break below)

4. Long-term trend (6–12 months): slow bull rise, new highs expected

• Underlying logic: halving scarcity + institutional compliance allocation + global inflation hedging demand, long-term upward trend unchanged

• Price outlook: challenge $100,000 before year-end, normal to see oscillations and adjustments during this period

• Risks: tightening global liquidity, sudden regulatory policy changes, macroeconomic crises

5. Trading suggestions (not investment advice)

• Short-term: buy on dips at $76,000–76,500, reduce positions at $78,500–79,000

• Medium-term: add gradually below $75,000, hold with target of $85K+