Lately, watching the options market feels a bit like looking at a thermometer: buyers get their time value gradually scraped away every day, while sellers just sit there collecting "rent." Honestly, buyers are betting on a big bullish or bearish candle to save themselves; if it doesn’t come, they suffer slow blood loss. Sellers are more like betting "nothing goes wrong"; if something does happen, they’ll just vomit back everything they collected earlier, or even end up losing money.

On-chain large transfers and sudden movements in exchange hot and cold wallets are immediately seen as smart money in the comment sections. I also get the itch to chase after them, but thinking as an options buyer, these “signals” are just helping the time value accelerate its attack on me… Anyway, I now prefer being a seller, as long as my position is small enough, so I don’t end up making myself the main character in the story.