BTC/USD | April 25, 2026 (Saturday)

Current Price: 77,450 (High-level oscillation and shakeout, weekend liquidity is light)
1. Key Levels (Most Critical)

Resistance

• 77,800–78,200: Short-term strong resistance (concentrated trading zone)

• 78,800–79,200: Important trapped zone, strong resistance to rebound

• 80,000: Psychological barrier, only turns strong after breakthrough

Support

• 77,000: Short-term vital support, weakness if broken

• 76,000–76,500: Strong support zone (preferred for rebound stabilization)

• 75,000: Trend defensive position, mid-term bullish bottom line
2. Technical Structure (Cycle Resonance)

• Daily: Major bullish trend not broken, high-level oscillation, highs moving lower; MACD red bars shrinking, signs of top divergence, increased correction pressure.

• 4-hour: Oscillation slightly weak, breaking below short-term moving averages; Bollinger bands tightening, middle band resistance; MACD death cross, green bars gradually increasing, clear need for pullback.

• 30-minute: Narrow convergence, volume shrinking; bulls and bears entangled, no direction on weekend, sideways instead of decline.
3. Indicator Overview (One-sentence conclusion)

• MACD: Short-term bears dominate, mid-term bulls not extinguished, rebound is a correction, not a reversal.

• RSI: 42–45, neutral leaning weak, no overbought or oversold, lacking unilateral momentum.

• Volume: Rising with volume shrinking, correction with volume shrinking, characteristic of bottoming oscillation.
4. Today's Strategy (Can be directly executed)

1) Overall Approach

High-level oscillation leaning bearish, mainly watchful, no chasing highs; wait for stabilization on pullback before low buying.

2) Short-term Short (Resisted rebound)

• Entry: Rebound to 77,800–78,200 encountering resistance and falling back

• Stop-loss: 78,500+

• Target: 77,000 → 76,000–76,500

3) Short-term Long (Pullback stabilization)

• Entry: Pullback to 76,000–76,500 and stabilize (close positive + volume contraction)

• Stop-loss: 75,500

• Target: 77,500–78,000

4) Mid-term Approach (1–3 days)

• Do not break below 75,000, mid-term bullish pattern remains, pullbacks are low-entry opportunities.

• If effectively broken below 75,000, trend weakens, consider watchful or short-term short positions.
5. Core Conclusion

Weekend narrow oscillation, 77,000 is the dividing line; rebound struggles to break 78,200, pullback to 76,000–76,500 is the best low-entry zone.