Wingstop (NASDAQ:WING) Misses Q4 CY2025 Revenue Estimates, But Stock Soars 12.6%

Wingstop (NASDAQ:WING) Misses Q4 CY2025 Revenue Estimates, But Stock Soars 12.6%

Adam Hejl

Wed, February 18, 2026 at 9:56 PM GMT+9 5 min read

In this article:

•                                       StockStory Top Pick 
  

  WING

  +13.59%

Fast-food chain Wingstop (NASDAQ:WING) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, but sales rose 8.6% year on year to $175.7 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $1 per share was 20% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Wingstop? Find out in our full research report.

Wingstop (WING) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

**Revenue:** $175.7 million vs analyst estimates of $177.8 million (8.6% year-on-year growth, 1.2% miss)

**Adjusted EPS:** $1 vs analyst estimates of $0.83 (20% beat)

**Adjusted EBITDA:** $61.88 million vs analyst estimates of $58.14 million (35.2% margin, 6.4% beat)

**Operating Margin:** 26.7%, in line with the same quarter last year

**Locations:** 3,056 at quarter end, up from 2,563 in the same quarter last year

**Same-Store Sales** fell 5.8% year on year (10.1% in the same quarter last year)

**Market Capitalization:** $7.00 billion

“Our team continues to demonstrate operational excellence as we opened 493 net new restaurants and expanded into six new international markets,” said Michael Skipworth, President & Chief Executive Officer.

Company Overview

The passion project of two chicken wing aficionados in Texas, Wingstop (NASDAQ:WING) is a popular fast-food chain known for its flavorful and crispy chicken wings offered in a variety of sauces and seasonings.

Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years.

With $696.9 million in revenue over the past 12 months, Wingstop is a small restaurant chain, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better brand awareness and economies of scale. On the bright side, it can grow faster because it has more white space to build new restaurants.

As you can see below, Wingstop’s 23.2% annualized revenue growth over the last six years was incredible as it opened new restaurants and increased sales at existing, established dining locations.

Wingstop Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Wingstop’s revenue grew by 8.6% year on year to $175.7 million, missing Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 17.2% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last six years. Still, this projection is noteworthy and indicates the market sees success for its menu offerings.

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Story Continues  

Restaurant Performance

Number of Restaurants

A restaurant chain’s total number of dining locations often determines how much revenue it can generate.

Wingstop sported 3,056 locations in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, it has opened new restaurants at a rapid clip by averaging 17.3% annual growth, among the fastest in the restaurant sector. This gives it a chance to scale into a mid-sized business over time. Furthermore, one dynamic making expansion more seamless is the company’s franchise model, where franchisees are primarily responsible for opening new restaurants while Wingstop provides support.

When a chain opens new restaurants, it usually means it’s investing for growth because there’s healthy demand for its meals and there are markets where its concepts have few or no locations.

Wingstop Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

The change in a company’s restaurant base only tells one side of the story. The other is the performance of its existing locations, which informs management teams whether they should expand or downsize their physical footprints. Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at those existing restaurants and is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

Wingstop has been one of the most successful restaurant chains over the last two years thanks to skyrocketing demand within its existing dining locations. On average, the company has posted exceptional year-on-year same-store sales growth of 8.6%. This performance along with its meaningful buildout of new restaurants suggest it’s playing some aggressive offense.

Wingstop Same-Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, Wingstop’s same-store sales fell by 5.8% year on year. This decline was a reversal from its historical levels. A one quarter hiccup shouldn’t deter you from investing in a business, and we’ll be monitoring the company to see how things progress.

Key Takeaways from Wingstop’s Q4 Results

We enjoyed seeing Wingstop beat analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also glad its same-store sales outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its revenue slightly missed. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. The stock traded up 12.6% to $283.51 immediately after reporting.

Wingstop put up rock-solid earnings, but one quarter doesn’t necessarily make the stock a buy. Let’s see if this is a good investment. What happened in the latest quarter matters, but not as much as longer-term business quality and valuation, when deciding whether to invest in this stock. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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