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BTC is currently in a resistance zone, consolidating and gathering strength:
Bullish logic: The 4-hour moving averages are in a healthy bullish alignment, ETF and Strategy are making large purchases providing fundamental support, and as long as the support at $76,500–$77,200 holds, the short-term upward trend remains intact. A volume breakout above $79,500 can confirm the continuation of the upward move, targeting $83,000+.
Bearish risk: Resistance at $78,000–$79,500 three times, and divergence signals appear on the 4-hour/ daily RSI and MACD, with volume decline indicating increased selling pressure. If it falls below $74,000, it may retest $69,000 or even $60,000.
Trading suggestion: Watch whether the support at $76,500–$77,200 is effective. Set stop-loss for long positions below $74,000; if volume breaks above $79,500, consider following the trend to go long.