Recently, I've been messing around with address profiling, labels, and clustering again. The more I look at it, the more I feel: it's credible, but only reliable roughly... The same "smart money" label might contain several sub-addresses from institutions, or it could be bots casually snatching, with funds flowing in and out in two hops. Even if the table looks clean, there's still fog. Moreover, lately, memes and celebrity shoutouts are hot, attention shifts so quickly. Many addresses are just chasing trends—today like whales, tomorrow like retail investors. Newcomers really shouldn't think copying will guarantee wins; the final move is often not recorded on-chain. For me, "long-term" isn't that grand either. Being able to pass through one narrative cycle from hot to cold (about one or two months), still willing to watch data, gradually add to positions, or simply do nothing—that's what I call long-term. At least it's more reliable than daily emotional trading.

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