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Today I saw someone say again, "These two transfers are too coincidental, there must be insider information." I now prefer to break down the "coincidence" first: where the money came from, where it paused, whether it was split into several parts taking different routes, and finally who it ended up with. Many times it's not mysterious operations, but routing habits + fee considerations + people moving funds between different addresses; looking at it together feels like a script.
By the way, I've been observing the recent L2 back-and-forth about TPS, fees, and subsidies... Honestly, cheap doesn't mean clean, and the more paths there are, the easier it is to confuse people. Anyway, I just watch the "tea leaf whirlpool" of fund flows slowly, don't rush to conclusions, just explain each step clearly.