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The third time I looked at address tags/clusters, it made me want to laugh at myself… On the one hand, I think, “Hey, this wallet is a whale buying,” and on the other hand, I’m afraid it’s the exchange’s hot and cold wallets getting shuffled, or a bunch of sockpuppets putting on a show. To put it simply, these profiles can be used as a reference, but don’t treat them as an ID—especially when the market’s in full swing; that’s when my hands itch the most, and I’m most likely to get steered by “fund flow” and end up following along.
These past few days, the cross-chain bridge has been having issues again, and after the oracle reports errors, everyone has collectively “waited for confirmation,” which makes me feel even more that: no matter how transparent the on-chain data is, it can’t beat the variables from the layer in the middle—people and systems. Now I just treat tags like a weather forecast; if I can bring an umbrella, that’s enough. If I really want to go head-to-head with leverage, then I’d better watch the liquidation line and hedge instead—and don’t let a “smart money” label send me straight to liquidation… Anyway, I’ll stick with this for now.