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The ceasefire appears to be increasingly fragile, as the military escalation on both sides raises the risk of a major incident, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic point in global trade. A blockade, even partial, could quickly disrupt global energy supplies.
If tensions escalate, the price of oil will likely rise sharply, which will increase inflation and put pressure on financial markets. In this context, investors might turn to alternative assets like Bitcoin, which is increasingly seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties.