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Important note on Bitcoin movements: Recently, I’ve noticed that the currency is oscillating regularly within a very narrow range between $84,000 and $94,500. This range is not random – it reflects a real struggle between buyers and sellers at key resistance and support levels.
I applied a quantitative analytical model focusing on kinetic energy dynamics and market emotions, and this model has proven to be remarkably accurate in previous predictions. Last week, when Bitcoin prices approached the resistance level at $94,500, a clear signal appeared in the model indicating a potential trend reversal. I entered a short position with 30% size and closed it when the price reached the support zone, achieving an accumulated profit of 3.4%.
What currently catches my attention is that energy indicators suggest a slowdown in the downward speed. The momentum line is converging below the zero axis, and the negative energy bar is continuously shrinking. But this does not necessarily mean the trend has changed – there is still clear market uncertainty.
Regarding pressure levels, I am closely monitoring the area from $93,000 to $94,500. If Bitcoin can hold strongly above $94,500 and maintain this level, it could indicate the start of a strong technical correction wave upward. On the other hand, if support at $84,000 is broken, the first target will be $80,000.
As for my strategy for this week: I still maintain a neutral stance at 65% as long as the price remains within the range. Short-term traders can take advantage of fluctuations between these levels using the model signals – opening short positions on upward moves toward $93,000–$94,500 and closing near support levels.
One important thing: whatever your strategy, set a stop-loss immediately when opening any position. Then, with each 1% profit, move your stop-loss to protect your gains. This is not optional – it’s a necessity in such a volatile market.
Another factor to watch this week: Federal Reserve officials’ statements will be intense. These statements could influence liquidity expectations and rates in the medium term, which in turn may affect the valuation of high-risk assets like Bitcoin. But their impact is often more medium-term rather than an immediate trading signal.
Summary: Bitcoin is in a clear state of conflict. Levels are defined, signals are present, but confirmation of a real trend is still pending. Watch key levels, stick to risk management, and avoid overconfidence. Financial markets change rapidly, and flexibility and caution are your best allies. Everything I share here is based on my personal observations from my own analysis – always do your own research before making any decision.