4/24 Bitcoin Evening Analysis

✅ Short position idea: If it rebounds to 78,300-78,500 and can't push higher (for example, forming long upper shadows, volume not following through), then you can lightly try shorting. Set the stop loss above 78,800, avoiding false breakouts. The target first looks at 77,700-77,500; if broken, then follow the trend to 77,000.
✅ Long position idea: Drop directly to 77,500-77,600. If a reversal signal appears (such as a hammer candlestick, decreasing volume), you can lightly bet on a rebound. Place the stop loss below 76,800, with the target at 77,800-78,000 on the pullback.
4-hour
Currently still in a bullish channel, but the upper band has flattened and is clearly losing momentum. The MACD green bars are starting to rise, indicating the bulls are weakening. This is a weak correction phase in high positions; as long as support isn't broken, it's not a bad sign, but don't blindly chase longs.
1-hour + 15-minute
The small timeframes have already started to weaken. The 1-hour MACD is approaching a second death cross, and the 15-minute has broken below the middle band, showing a clear short-term advantage for the bears. But don't panic; the 15-minute is nearing oversold territory, so a small rebound is likely. The rebound is an opportunity to find a better entry for shorts.
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