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Recently, people keep saying "It's all on the chain, we're set," and I just want to laugh... The "on-chain" you see might be nodes yawning, RPCs queuing, or indexers not yet bringing the data to the table. Especially when the market is volatile, a delay of a few dozen seconds turns you from an observer into a bag-holder poet. Honestly, you think you're viewing from a god's perspective, but really it's just a cache perspective.
Hardware wallets are out of stock, phishing links are everywhere, and everyone suddenly starts talking about security. But don't forget: information itself also has a "shelf life"; once it expires, it's poison. As for whether I trust data or intuition more? I trust intuition a little more — data can be late, but intuition at least will first make me pull my hand back, so I don't grab that shiny knife.