I found these Bitwise data on Bitcoin retention interesting. They analyzed the history since 2010 and found that the longer you hold, the less risk there is of losing money. Like, in 3 years only a 0.70% chance of loss, in 5 years it drops to 0.2%. Almost zero risk in 10 years. The price of Bitcoin in 2010 was practically nothing compared to today, and those who held from then on came out very ahead. Now BTC is around $77,680, it has fallen quite a bit from the October peak, but the realized price of those who bought 3-5 years ago is still around $34,780. In other words, even with this drop, people who held are still about 90% in profit. Analysts are divided on the forecasts: Bernstein talks about $150k for 2026, Standard Chartered warns of a possible drop to $50k, Peterson points to $122k in early 2027. The truth is that market timing is way too complicated, but time really seems to reduce risk.