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Here's How Much Walmart Stock Is Expected to Move After Earnings Thursday
Here’s How Much Walmart Stock Is Expected to Move After Earnings Thursday
Aaron McDade
Wed, February 18, 2026 at 8:15 PM GMT+9 2 min read
In this article:
WMT
-3.76%
Key Takeaways
Walmart is set to report fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell Thursday, with traders anticipating the retail giant’s stock could climb to new highs following the results.
Options pricing suggests traders expect Walmart (WMT) stock could swing up to 5% in either direction by the end of the holiday-shortened trading week. A move of that size from Tuesday’s close near $129 would push the stock above $135 at the high end, topping Friday’s record, or drag the stock back down to $122.
Walmart shares have rallied close to 16% since the year began, as investors rotatated out of tech stocks and into consumer staples amid worries about an AI bubble.
Why This Matters to Investors
Results from Walmart, America’s largest retailer, may be seen as a bellwether for the health of the American consumer. In recent quarters, its results have underscored how many Americans across income levels are increasingly searching for value.
Ahead of the report, Morgan Stanley and UBS analysts wrote that they expect a solid fourth quarter from Walmart, but warned the retailer could give conservative guidance, in part to avoid setting too high a bar for new CEO John Furner, who took over at the start of the month.
Walmart is projected to report adjusted earnings per share of 73 cents on a 5% year-over-year jump in revenue to $190.62 billion for the fourth quarter. Comparable store sales growth is expected to come in at 4.3%.
Wall Street analysts are widely bullish on Walmart’s stock. Fourteen of the 15 analysts tracked by Visible Alpha consider it a “buy,” compared to just one neutral rating. However, their mean target of $130 would suggest less than 1% upside from Tuesday’s close after the stock’s recent gains.
Read the original article on Investopedia
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