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Last night, I was checking on-chain transfers and saw that kind of "coincidence": A sends to B, then B transfers to C within a few minutes, and the comment section immediately jumps into drama mode.
Honestly, many times it's not mysticism, but the path not being broken down: intermediary addresses, collection wallets, cross-chain bridges, or even hot wallets on exchanges moving back and forth, making it look like a cipher.
Is the tagging system reliable?
It's just for convenience. If you really want to trust it to make a definitive judgment, I might as well just lie flat...
Recently, some people have been complaining that on-chain data tools/tags are lagging and can easily mislead people.
I now just treat it like listening to a radio station: get a rough idea first, then verify the time, amount, and interaction targets myself, so I won't be led by "coincidences."
Anyway, I’d rather be slow than act as a relay.