#加密市场行情震荡 Geopolitical disturbances + capital outflows, Bitcoin's future trend forecast! Market analysis for April 24

The core current situation of Bitcoin's market chart focuses on the key resistance at $81k, where large sell orders exist, serving as a major obstacle in the order book; currently, only large orders are present, and no dense, continuous selling pressure has formed, indicating that the main bearish players have not yet entered the market on a large scale.
Market open interest (OI) is also decreasing by 5.74%, with high-leverage funds continuing to be cleared out, and short-term chasing funds collectively retreat; once the price rebounds to around $81k, short-term shorts in the market will face concentrated liquidation. The spot ETF has maintained net inflows for eight consecutive days, with institutional long-term buying still ongoing, but the entry intensity has significantly weakened; yesterday’s net inflow was only $11.84 million, enough to see that institutional willingness to actively increase Bitcoin holdings has greatly cooled down.
Geopolitical variables fluctuate repeatedly, with the US-Iran situation continuing to engage in extreme brinkmanship. Trump’s recent statements suggest a possible restart of negotiations, which Iran immediately denied, causing international oil prices to remain volatile at high levels. The standoff and negotiation news repeatedly tug the market, becoming tangled variables affecting the price trend, with the situation unresolved and continuously disturbing market sentiment.
The four-hour chart shows weak volume structure, with neither bulls nor bears forming concentrated large-scale volume. Bearish main players remain on the sidelines, observing, while bullish momentum is also insufficient, with overall sentiment leaning towards waiting, awaiting geopolitical news to catalyze the market.
The daily chart maintains a structurally strong trend, with the price oscillating within the Fibonacci ascending channel. Currently, it is consolidating in the key zone between 0.786 and 1, with short-term bulls still attempting to test the $80,000 level, forming a clear range-bound bottoming pattern.
Market summary and trading strategy
$81k is the short-term core defense line for bears; when the price reaches this zone, a fierce battle between bulls and bears is inevitable.
Short-term operation: rely on the support zone for low-buying and long positions, and lightly attempt short positions near key resistance levels, controlling the short-term swing rhythm.
Mid-term layout: remain patient and observe, not rushing to open short positions. Focus on waiting for three major signals:
1. Latest developments in US-Iran weekend negotiations;
2. Price rebound to the high zone of $80,000–$82,000;
3. Signals of concentrated entry of bearish main funds. Currently, the market is mainly consolidating and building momentum. Be patient and wait for a clear top formation confirmation before executing mid-term short positions, and stay tuned for a clearer market direction.