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U.S. military soldiers betting on "Maduro's arrest" made a $400k profit and were then arrested! Trump: The world is starting to look a bit like a casino
Golden Finance reports that on April 24, U.S. President Trump on Thursday ( April 23 ) announced that an investigation will be launched into betting behaviors involving insider information in prediction markets, especially whether federal personnel are using non-public information to place bets. When discussing betting activities related to war-related events, Trump stated that the current global situation is “a bit like a casino,” implying that some market transactions may have deviated from normal investment logic and are relying on information asymmetry or even insider information. He also emphasized that he “has never been a strong supporter of these betting platforms,” and pointed out that he fundamentally disapproves of gambling behavior.
This statement comes at a time when prediction markets have recently been causing frequent controversy. As geopolitical events, military actions, and policy decisions are incorporated into betting targets, some unusually precise trading behaviors have raised concerns about “insider trading.”
It is worth noting that the reason regulators are becoming increasingly wary of “insider bets” in prediction markets is closely related to a recent case exposure. According to sources cited by ABC News, U.S. federal law enforcement arrested a special forces soldier on Thursday. This individual had participated in the operation to capture former Venezuelan President Maduro and is accused of using insider information obtained before the operation to place bets on the prediction market platform Polymarket, ultimately profiting over $400k. ( Dongxin News Agency )