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In the weak oscillation phase, altcoins are most likely to be rapidly hammered down. It's better to miss out than chase the rally; wait for the market to give a clear direction before increasing your positions.
Currently, the overall main market daily and 4H levels are still mainly fluctuating, and although Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies are also fluctuating, the overall volatility is leaning downward and weakening. If the main market pulls back more, most altcoins are likely to drop directly or even accelerate. Therefore, pay attention to the upcoming trend of the main market. As long as the main market hasn't entered a consolidation phase, short-term swing trading is recommended.
From the current liquidation map, BTC's long and short positions are relatively balanced and quite concentrated, while ETH and SOL show a slight advantage for the bears and are also quite concentrated. This explains why ETH and SOL are showing weak trends. Additionally, yesterday, crypto ETF institutions had a net capital inflow of about $10 million, with overall net inflow being relatively small, indicating a cautious and watchful stance. Today is also the expiration date for BTC and ETH options, with BTC's maximum pain point at 72,000, with a notional amount of $8.52B, and ETH's maximum pain point at 2,200, with a notional amount of $1.35 billion. Keep an eye on these.
Regarding the current situation between the US and Iran, the second round of negotiations is already in a poor state, entering a brief vacuum period. Negotiations or conflicts are now the market's focus. Therefore, continue to monitor subsequent news developments. Today, the main market is expected to fluctuate within the range of 76,500-80,000. ETH's short-term fluctuation range is 2,280-2,380, and SOL's is 84.5-88.5.
Today’s contract strategies:
BTC: 77,500 or buy on dips, take profit at 79,000
ETH: 2,290 or buy on dips, take profit at 2,360
SOL: 85 or buy on dips, take profit at 87
Warm tips:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set based on your actual liquidation price and your ability to bear losses.
2. Don't be greedy; take profits when possible. Better to take small losses than to hold on and face bigger ones. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.