BTC Intraday Short Selling Plan

Aggressive Short (Attempting Short at Current Price)
Shorting Range: 78,300 – 78.5k (Upper end of current price)
Stop Loss: 78,900 (Tight stop)
Take Profit: 77,600 / 77,000 (TP)
Logic:
The current price has fallen back from above to 78,200, which is a retracement after a high-level compression. Here, the strategy is: if the rebound cannot break through → continue weakening,
It's not about guessing the top, but following the weakening rhythm.

Conservative Short (Rebound Relay)
Shorting Range: 79,000 – 79,400 (Structural resistance)
Stop Loss: 80,000
Take Profit: 78,000 / 77,200
Logic:
If the aggressive short hasn't triggered or has been swept out, it indicates the market still has a chance for an upward rebound. This range is a cleaner short position.

Adding to Position Logic (Confirming Weakness)
Condition: Break below 77,800 with no rebound (Break & Fail)
Add-on Range: 77,500 – 77,800
Target: 76,500 / 75,800
Logic: Once the current sideways bottom is broken, the market shifts from consolidation to downtrend, making this the most profitable segment.

Current Structure Judgment (Key Point)
The initial phase of weakening from the high, with diminishing rebound strength above and being broken below, no longer a strong oscillation but starting to lean bearish.

Key Point:
Unable to break above 78.5k → Bears have the advantage

Core Execution
Aggressive: Attempt short at current price
Conservative: Short on rebound
Add-on: Confirm break below
Sequence:
Try first → Add second → Amplify third

It's not about "how high is the price," but whether the rebound has strength.

The above is only personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks; please bear the gains and losses yourself. #比特币反弹