Looking back at the Bitcoin predictions at the end of 2024, it's really quite interesting. At that time, analysts everywhere were calling for target prices of $150,000, $200,000, with major institutions like ARK Invest and Fundstrat also predicting it could reach over $124,000 by the end of the year. I remember the market sentiment was especially euphoric, with some even estimating a 10% chance of breaking $150,000.

Now, looking back, some of those 2024 Bitcoin target predictions have been achieved, and some haven't. After the $100,000 psychological barrier was broken, it indeed triggered a rally, with many technical analysts eyeing the $130,000–$140,000 range, and some even calculating a Fibonacci target of $154,250. But by 2026, the market has moved past that cycle.

What's most interesting is that the logic at the time about institutional adoption, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, and halving supply tightening still holds up now. It's just that the market is always more complicated than expected—volatility, regulatory changes, macroeconomic environments can all disrupt the rhythm. Bitcoin forecasts are always like this: the data and logic are correct, but the actual trend always surprises you. Looking now at the price of $77,760, it's a whole different story.