I now rarely "rush in when it looks cheap" for cross-chain transactions... To put it simply, when you cross-chain once, you're not just trusting one chain, you're betting on a whole series of things not to go wrong.

IBC's message passing sounds very smooth: the light clients on both sides, validator sets, relayers, and the on-chain message processing modules/contracts, if any link gets stuck, your assets can be "hanging" on the way. Non-IBC bridges are more straightforward: multi-signature/midway relay/oracles/escrow, with greater trust risks, and more severe consequences if something goes wrong.

Recently, everyone is watching the unlock calendar every day, afraid of selling pressure. I'm actually more worried about myself trembling and crossing chains on those unlock days—chain congestion + slow bridges, by the time the funds arrive, the mood has already changed... So now I’m just testing small positions, making the smallest move first, adding more if it works out, and if I lose, I’ll obediently write a post-mortem and face the facts. That’s how I’m doing it for now.