These days, I keep seeing a bunch of people drawing arrows on the ETF net inflow based on the curve of stablecoin supply, saying "Money is coming in, so it must go up." I almost got itchy and wanted to chase again... Honestly, correlation is too good at fooling people; off-exchange funds don't just flow in one way. They might first sit on the exchange, or do something else first, or even just move around. Later, I realized that the easiest trap for me is to treat "happening at the same time" as "because of," and then impulsively treat stop-losses as decorations. The result is that I get slapped in the face faster than those guys arguing about TPS and subsidies on L2. For now, I'll keep doing toothbrushing-style stop-losses tonight.

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