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Polymarket Volume Jumps as Trump-Linked Iran Bets Draw Insider Trading Questions
Polymarket’s trading activity surged as Iran-related markets tied to Donald Trump’s statements drew about 413 million predictions and more than $100 million in funds from April 5 to April 8. Donald Trump Jr.'s disclosed stake in Polymarket and advisory role at Kalshi added conflict-of-interest and insider trading questions. Industry data shows political contracts are now the second-largest prediction market category after sports.