$BTC 4/23 Bitcoin Evening Analysis

✅Buy on dips with multiple long positions
Entry: Wait for a pullback to stabilize around 77,200-77,500, with the 1-hour MACD completing a golden cross and a red histogram appearing.
Stop loss: Below 76,800.
Target: First aim for 78,000, then look for around 78,800 if broken.
✅. Facing resistance, try shorting
Entry: Rebound to the 77,800-78,000 range, with the 1-hour MACD not yet forming a golden cross and a reversal signal appearing on the 15-minute chart.
Stop loss: Above 78,300.
Target: Pull back to 77,200-77,000.
3. Absolute taboo: Directly chasing prices above 77,800, where resistance is dense, with a high probability of false golden crosses, risking being trapped.
4-hour timeframe: Bollinger Bands are still opening upward, with the price steadily above the middle band, indicating the bull market's bottom hasn't broken yet. The green bars on MACD are shrinking, showing the upward momentum is gradually easing, but it’s not time to turn bearish. RSI is also oscillating in the middle, with no overbought or oversold signals, so no major risk for now.
• 1-hour timeframe: The bearish red bars are nearly gone, the DIF line is approaching the DEA line, about to form a golden cross. This signals the bears are losing strength and bulls may take over. But note, this is just a “countdown,” not confirmed yet—don’t bet prematurely.
• 15-minute timeframe: The short-term has already rebounded first, with the price touching the upper Bollinger Band, and MACD has also formed a golden cross. But RSI is approaching 70, indicating the short-term rally may stall, and a pullback is likely. Therefore, chasing the high carries significant risk.
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