I just reviewed the three-day chart of Bitcoin and noticed something that historically precedes strong corrections. A death cross has formed, the pattern where the 50-period moving average drops below the 200-period moving average. This isn't the first time it has happened, so I looked at what occurred in previous cycles.



In 2018 and 2022, when this pattern appeared during bear markets, Bitcoin fell about 52% afterward. In 2014, it was even worse, around 57%. If we apply that logic to the level where the crossover occurred, we could be looking at potential declines toward $36,000 to $40,000, zones that align with Fibonacci extensions that marked lows in those previous cycles.

The interesting thing is that Bitcoin recently reached nearly $74,000, but that momentum faded quickly. It is now trading at approximately $77,720, although it remains below its 50- and 200-day moving averages, which generally indicates weakness. The RSI is at a neutral (45.93), so there are no oversold extremes yet, but the price structure is concerning. If the death cross pattern behaves as it did in previous cycles, it could be a serious warning for upcoming movements.
BTC-1.38%
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