So, here’s the thing, many still believe that long-term holder accumulation (LTH) is the only signal for timing entry. But actually, LTH is a slow indicator, not an accurate timing tool. I personally prefer to wait for multiple confirmations from the market.



The steps are like this: first, compare the spot price versus perpetuals. If the spot is starting to outperform the perpetuals, that can be a more reliable signal. Second, monitor the premium—if it’s already positive or at least ≥ 0, that indicates sentiment is beginning to shift. Third, wait for the weekly pullback to occur. The combination of these three factors is much more powerful than just relying on LTH as the main driver.

Until all these conditions are met, just be patient. LTH accumulation is indeed important for understanding long-term holder behavior, but don’t make it your only reference. The market can stay irrational longer than we think. The right timing requires patience and multiple confirmations, not just one indicator.

The key: don’t rush. Wait for a proper setup before reversing risk. That’s a more sustainable strategy.
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